The Repopulation of New Orleans After Hurricane Katrina

The Repopulation of New Orleans After Hurricane Katrina

Kevin McCarthy
D.J. Peterson
Narayan Sastry
Michael Pollard
Copyright Date: 2006
Edition: 1
Published by: RAND Corporation
Pages: 60
https://www.jstor.org/stable/10.7249/tr369rc
  • Cite this Item
  • Book Info
    The Repopulation of New Orleans After Hurricane Katrina
    Book Description:

    In November 2005, New Orleans city leaders asked RAND to estimate the repopulation of the city in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina. The Bring New Orleans Back Commission needed estimates of the city's population in the immediate and near-term future to guide the redevelopment planning process. An assessment of flood damage to housing based on the depth of floodwater and the likely pace of reconstruction of damaged housing guided the estimates.

    eISBN: 978-0-8330-4115-9
    Subjects: Health Sciences, Population Studies

Table of Contents

  1. Front Matter
    (pp. i-ii)
  2. PREFACE
    (pp. iii-iv)
  3. Table of Contents
    (pp. v-vi)
  4. TABLES
    (pp. vii-viii)
  5. FIGURES
    (pp. ix-x)
  6. SUMMARY
    (pp. xi-xiv)
  7. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
    (pp. xv-xvi)
  8. ABBREVIATIONS
    (pp. xvii-xviii)
  9. CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION
    (pp. 1-4)

    Hurricane Katrina struck New Orleans, Louisiana, on the morning of August 29, 2005. Although thousands of residents had fled the city in advance of the hurricane, following the mayor’s order for a mandatory evacuation, many thousands of residents remained behind, either in their own homes or in one of the available hurricane shelters. The city suffered moderate damage from the hurricane itself, but substantially more damage from extensive flooding caused by breaks in several levees. In the week following the hurricane, virtually all the remaining residents were evacuated from the city. New Orleans, which had an estimated total population of...

  10. CHAPTER TWO APPROACH TO THE PROBLEM
    (pp. 5-12)

    In this chapter, we describe our approach to estimating the future population of New Orleans. Following a discussion of a key definition of population size, we discuss the conceptual framework that guided our analysis. This framework describes the various factors that are expected to shape the population of New Orleans and the interrelationships among these factors. The framework, in turn, was used to motivate our estimation approach.

    An important definition for this study concerns how people are classified according to their place of residence. The precise definition of “place of residence” that is chosen will shape the estimates of current...

  11. CHAPTER THREE ESTIMATES OF THE FUTURE POPULATION OF NEW ORLEANS
    (pp. 13-32)

    The culmination of the approach presented in Chapter Two is an equation that yields estimates of the future population of New Orleans for four points in time based on estimates of housing habitability. Those estimates are the product of the two terms in Equation 1: (a) an estimate of the pre-Katrina population by the condition of its housingafterKatrina, organized into the four damage categories; and (b) an estimate of future repopulation rates for the four damage categories at the four points in time.

    In this chapter, we present our results for the estimates of the future population of...

  12. CHAPTER FOUR CONCLUSIONS AND NEXT STEPS
    (pp. 33-36)

    In this report, we presented an analysis of the repopulation of New Orleans in the wake of the tremendous devastation brought about by levee breaches and flooding from Hurricane Katrina. In particular, we drew on expert opinion, news reports, and various extant data sources to estimate the New Orleans population in December 2005 (roughly three months after Hurricane Katrina struck), in March 2006 (six months after Katrina), and in September 2006 and 2008 (respectively, one and three years after the hurricane and floods). We estimated that the population of New Orleans will be about 155,000 in March 2006 and will...

  13. BIBLIOGRAPHY
    (pp. 37-41)