The end of communist rule in China will be one of the most
momentous events of the twenty-first century, sounding the death
knell for the Marxist-Leninist experiment and changing the lives of
a fifth of humanity. This book provides a likely blow-by-blow
account of how the Chinese Communist Party will be removed from
power and how a new democracy will be born.
In more than half a century of rule, the Chinese Communist Party
has turned a poor and benighted China into a moderately well-off
and increasingly influential nation. Yet the Party has failed to
keep pace with change since stepping aside from daily life in the
late-1970s. After nearly a hundred years of frustrating attempts to
create a workable political system following the overthrow of the
last dynasty, the prospects for democracy in China are better than
ever, according to Bruce Gilley.
Gilley predicts an elite-led transformation rather than a
popular-led overthrow. He profiles the key actors and looks at the
response of excluded elites, such as the military, as well as
interested parties such as Taiwan and Tibet. He explains how
democracy in China will be very "Chinese," even as it will also
embody fundamental universal liberal features. He deals with
competing interests -- regional, sectoral, and class -- of China's
economy and society under democracy, addressing the pressing
concerns of world business. Finally he considers the implications
for Asia as well as for the United States.
Subjects: Political Science, History
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